NFL Magic Numbers

Updated: November 26, 2014 7:56am PDT

#Number of wins needed to guarantee at least a tie with the team currently at this seed (refer to tiebreakers)

«Team has secured a spot higher than the team currently at this seed

Team has secured at least a tie with the team currently at this seed (refer to tiebreakers)

NCTeam does not control their own destiny for securing this seed

Team has been eliminated from securing this seed

± Tiebreaking procedures

NFL Tiebreakers

Two-Team Tiebreaker:

  1. Division winner
  2. Better record in head-to-head games
  3. Higher winning percentage within division (if teams are in the same division)
  4. Higher winning percentage in conference games
  5. Higher winning percentage against playoff teams in own conference
  6. Higher winning percentage against playoff teams in opposite conference
  7. Higher point differential between points scored and points allowed

Three-Team Tiebreaker:

  1. Division winner
  2. Best head-to-head winning percentage among all teams tied
  3. Highest winning percentage within division (if teams are in the same division)
  4. Highest winning percentage in conference games
  5. Highest winning percentage against playoff teams in own conference
  6. Highest point differential between points scored and points allowed

Clinching & Elimination scenarios for Week 13

NFL playoff scenarios were calculated by NFLPlayoffScenarios and their weekly Reddit thread.

Chicago Bears

The Bears will be eliminated from the NFC North race with: (1) a loss vs. the Lions (Thu, 12:30pm ET) AND a Packers win or tie vs. the Patriots (Sun, 4:25pm ET).

Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings will be eliminated from the NFC North race with: (1) a loss vs. the Panthers (Sun, 1:00pm ET); (2) a tie vs. the Panthers (Sun, 1:00pm ET) AND a Lions win OR tie vs. the Bears (Thu, 12:30pm ET); (3) a tie vs. the Panthers (Sun, 1:00pm ET) AND a Packers win OR tie vs. the Patriots (Sun, 4:25pm ET); (3) a Packers win vs. the Patriots (Sun, 4:25pm ET); (4) a Packers tie vs. the Patriots (Sun, 4:25pm ET) AND a Lions win vs. the Bears (Thu, 12:30pm ET);

The Vikings will be eliminated from the playoffs with: (1) a loss vs. the Panthers (Sun, 1:00pm ET) AND a Lions win vs. the Bears (Thu, 12:30pm ET) AND a Cowboys win OR tie vs. the Eagles (Thu, 4:30pm ET); (2) a loss vs. the Panthers (Sun, 1:00pm ET) AND a Lions win vs. the Bears (Thu, 12:30pm ET) AND an Eagles win vs. the Cowboys (Thu, 4:30pm ET) AND a Rams loss OR tie vs. the Raiders (Sun, 1:00pm ET).

New York Giants

The Giants will be eliminated from the playoffs with: (1) a loss OR tie vs. the Jaguars (Sun, 1:00pm ET); (2) a Lions win vs. the Bears (Thu, 12:30pm ET); (3) a Rams loss or tie vs. the Raiders (Sun, 1:00pm ET) AND a 49ers win vs. the Seahawks (Thu, 8:30pm ET); (4) a Rams loss or tie vs. the Raiders (Sun, 1:00pm ET) AND an Eagles win or tie vs. the Cowboys (Thu, 4:30pm ET).

St. Louis Rams

The Rams will be eliminated from the NFC West race with: (1) a loss OR tie vs. the Raiders (Sun, 1:00pm ET); (2) a Cardinals win OR tie vs. the Falcons (Sun, 4:05pm ET);

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Buccaneers will be eliminated from the playoffs with: (1) a loss vs. the Bengals (Sun, 1:00pm ET) AND a Saints win vs. the Steelers (Sun, 1:00pm ET) AND a Panthers win vs. the Vikings (Sun, 1:00pm ET) AND a Falcons win OR tie vs. the Cardinals (Sun, 4:05pm ET); (2) a loss vs. the Bengals (Sun, 1:00pm ET) AND a Saints win vs. the Steelers (Sun, 1:00pm ET) AND a Panthers tie vs. the Vikings (Sun, 1:00pm ET) AND a Falcons win vs. the Cardinals (Sun, 4:05pm ET); (3) a loss vs. the Bengals (Sun, 1:00pm ET) AND a Saints tie vs. the Steelers (Sun, 1:00pm ET) AND a Panthers win vs. the Vikings (Sun, 1:00pm ET) AND a Falcons win vs. the Cardinals (Sun, 4:05pm ET);

Washington Redskins

The Redskins will be eliminated from the playoffs with: (1) a loss OR tie vs. the Colts (Sun, 1:00pm ET); (2) a Lions win vs. the Bears (Thu, 12:30pm ET) AND a Cowboys win or tie vs. the Eagles (Thu, 4:30px ET); (3) a Rams loss or tie vs. the Raiders (Sun, 1:00pm ET) AND a 49ers win vs. the Seahawks (Thu, 8:30pm ET) AND a Cowboys win vs. the Eagles (Thu, 4:30px ET); (4) a Rams loss or tie vs. the Raiders (Sun, 1:00pm ET) AND an Eagles win or tie vs. the Cowboys (Thu, 4:30pm ET).

AFC Standings

W L T Win % Conf                
 NE 9 2 0 .818 6–2–0   4 3 3 3 3 3 3
 DEN 8 3 0 .727 6–1–0 NC   4 4 4 4 4 4
 CIN 7 3 1 .681 5–3–0 NC NC   5 5 5 5 5
 IND 7 4 0 .636 6–3–0 NC NC 5   5 5 5 5
 KC 7 4 0 .636 5–3–0 NC NC 5 5   5 5 5
 SD 7 4 0 .636 5–3–0 NC NC 5 5 5   5 5
 BAL 7 4 0 .636 3–4–0 NC NC 5 5 5 5   5
 PIT 7 4 0 .636 6–3–0 NC NC 5 5 5 5 5  
 CLE 7 4 0 .636 4–4–0 NC NC 5 5 5 5 5 5
 MIA 6 5 0 .545 5–3–0 NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC
 BUF 6 5 0 .545 3–5–0 NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC
 HOU 5 6 0 .454 4–3–0 NC NC NC NC NC NC NC NC
 TEN 2 9 0 .181 2–6–0 NC NC NC NC NC NC
 NYJ 2 9 0 .181 2–6–0 NC NC NC NC NC NC
 JAX 1 10 0 .090 1–7–0
 OAK 1 10 0 .090 1–8–0

NFC Standings

W L T Win % Conf                
 ARI 9 2 0 .818 7–1–0   4 4 4 3 3 3
 GB 8 3 0 .727 6–3–0 NC   5 1 5 4 4 4
 PHI 8 3 0 .727 4–3–0 NC 5   1 5 4 4 4
 ATL 4 7 0 .363 4–4–0 NC NC NC   NC NC NC NC
 DAL 8 3 0 .727 5–3–0 NC 5 5 1   4 4 4
 SEA 7 4 0 .636 5–2–0 NC NC NC 2 NC   5 5
 DET 7 4 0 .636 5–2–0 NC NC NC 2 NC 5   5
 SF 7 4 0 .636 6–3–0 NC NC NC 2 NC 5 5  
 CHI 5 6 0 .454 4–3–0 NC NC NC 4 NC NC NC NC
 NO 4 7 0 .363 4–4–0 NC NC NC 5 NC NC NC NC
 MIN 4 7 0 .363 4–5–0 NC NC NC 5 NC NC NC NC
 STL 4 7 0 .363 3–5–0 NC NC NC 5 NC NC NC NC
 CAR 3 7 1 .318 3–5–0 NC NC NC NC NC NC NC
 NYG 3 8 0 .272 2–7–0 NC NC NC NC NC NC NC
 WAS 3 8 0 .272 1–7–0 NC NC NC NC NC NC NC
 TB 2 9 0 .181 1–7–0 NC NC NC NC