NFL Magic Numbers

Updated: December 20, 2014 11:57pm PDT

#Number of wins needed to guarantee at least a tie with the team currently at this seed (refer to tiebreakers)

«Team has secured a spot higher than the team currently at this seed

Team has secured at least a tie with the team currently at this seed (refer to tiebreakers)

NCTeam does not control their own destiny for securing this seed

Team has been eliminated from securing this seed

± Tiebreaking procedures

NFL Tiebreakers

Two-Team Tiebreaker:

  1. Division winner
  2. Better record in head-to-head games
  3. Higher winning percentage within division (if teams are in the same division)
  4. Higher winning percentage in conference games
  5. Higher winning percentage against playoff teams in own conference
  6. Higher winning percentage against playoff teams in opposite conference
  7. Higher point differential between points scored and points allowed

Three-Team Tiebreaker:

  1. Division winner
  2. Best head-to-head winning percentage among all teams tied
  3. Highest winning percentage within division (if teams are in the same division)
  4. Highest winning percentage in conference games
  5. Highest winning percentage against playoff teams in own conference
  6. Highest point differential between points scored and points allowed

Clinching & Elimination scenarios for Week 16

NFL playoff scenarios were calculated by NFLPlayoffScenarios and their weekly Reddit thread.

Arizona Cardinals

The Cardinals clinch the NFC West AND the #1 seed in the NFC with:
a win vs. the Seahawks.

Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens clinch a playoff spot with:
(1) a win vs. the Texans AND a Steelers loss vs. the Chiefs AND a Bengals loss vs. the Broncos;
(2) a win vs. the Texans AND a Chiefs loss OR tie vs. the Steelers AND a Chargers loss OR tie vs. the 49ers;
(3) a tie vs. the Texans AND a Chiefs tie vs. the Steelers AND a Chargers loss OR tie vs. the 49ers AND a Bills loss OR tie vs. the Raiders.

Cincinnati Bengals

The Bengals clinch the AFC North with:
a win vs. the Broncos AND a Steelers loss vs. the Chiefs AND a Ravens loss vs. the Texans.

The Bengals clinch a playoff spot with:
(1) a win vs. the Broncos;
(2) a tie vs. the Broncos AND a Ravens loss vs. the Texans;
(3) a tie vs. the Broncos AND a Chiefs loss OR tie vs. the Steelers AND a Chargers loss OR tie vs. the 49ers;
(4) a Chiefs loss vs. the Steelers AND a Chargers loss vs. the 49ers AND a Bills loss vs. the Raiders.

Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys clinch the NFC East with:
(1) a win vs. the Colts AND an Eagles loss OR tie vs. the Redskins;
(2) a tie vs. the Colts AND an Eagles loss vs. the Redskins.

The Cowboys clinch a playoff spot with:
a win vs. the Colts AND a Packers loss OR tie vs. the Buccaneers AND a Detroit loss OR tie vs. the Bears.

Denver Broncos

The Broncos clinch a first-round bye with:
(1) a win vs. the Bengals;
(2) a tie vs. the Bengals AND a Colts loss OR tie vs. the Cowboys.

Detroit Lions

The Lions clinch the NFC North with:
a win vs. the Bears AND a Packers loss vs. the Buccaneers.

The Lions clinch a first-round bye with:
a win vs. the Bears AND a Packers loss vs. the BuccaneersAND a Cowboys loss vs. the Colts.

The Lions clinch a playoff spot with:
(1) a win vs. the Bears;
(2) a tie vs. the Bears AND an Eagles tie vs. the Redskins;
(3) an Eagles loss vs. the Redskins.

Green Bay Packers

The Packers clinch a playoff spot with:
(1) a win vs. the Buccaneers AND an Eagles loss OR tie vs. the Redskins;
(2) a win vs. the Buccaneers AND a Cowboys win OR tie vs. the Colts;
(3) a tie vs. the Buccaneers AND an Eagles loss vs. the Redskins;
(4) a tie vs. the Buccaneers AND an Eagles tie vs. the Redskins AND a Cowboys win OR tie vs. the Colts;
(5) an Eagles loss vs. the Redskins AND a Cowboys win OR tie vs. the Colts.

New England Patriots

The Patriots clinch the #1 seed in the AFC with:
a win vs. the Jets AND a Broncos loss vs. the Bengals.

The Patriots clinch a first-round bye with:
(1) a win vs. the Jets;
(2) a tie vs. the Jets AND a Colts loss OR tie vs. the Cowboys;
(3) a Colts loss vs. the Cowboys AND a Bengals loss OR tie vs. the Broncos AND a Steelers loss OR tie vs. the Chiefs AND a Ravens loss OR tie vs. the Texans.

New Orleans Saints

The Saints clinch the NFC South with:
a win vs. the Falcons AND a Panthers loss vs. the Browns.

Pittsburgh Steelers

The Steelers clinch a playoff spot with:
a win vs. the Chiefs.

Seattle Seahawks

The Seahawks clinch a playoff spot with:
(1) a win vs. the Cardinals AND an Eagles loss OR tie vs. the Redskins;
(2) a win vs. the Cardinals AND a Lions loss OR tie vs. the Bears;
(3) a win vs. the Cardinals AND a Packers loss vs. the Buccaneers;
(4) a tie vs. the Cardinals AND an Eagles loss vs. the Redskins;
(5) a tie vs. the Cardinals AND a Lions loss vs. the Bears AND a Packers loss vs. the Buccaneers;
(6) an Eagles loss OR vs. the Redskins AND a Cowboys win OR tie vs. the Colts.

AFC Standings

W L T Win % Conf                
 NE 11 3 0 .785 8–2–0   2 1 « «
 DEN 11 3 0 .785 9–1–0 2   1 « «
 IND 10 4 0 .714 8–3–0 NC NC   1 1 1
 CIN 9 4 1 .678 6–4–0 NC NC NC   2 2 1 1
 PIT 9 5 0 .642 7–3–0 NC NC NC 2   2 1 1
 BAL 9 5 0 .642 5–5–0 NC NC NC 2 2   1 1
 SD 9 6 0 .600 6–5–0 NC NC NC NC   1
 KC 8 6 0 .571 6–4–0 NC NC NC NC 2  
 BUF 8 6 0 .571 4–6–0 NC NC NC NC 2 2
 HOU 7 7 0 .500 6–4–0 NC NC NC NC NC
 MIA 7 7 0 .500 6–5–0 NC NC NC NC NC
 CLE 7 7 0 .500 4–7–0 NC NC NC NC NC
 NYJ 3 11 0 .214 3–7–0
 JAX 3 12 0 .200 2–9–0
 OAK 2 12 0 .142 1–9–0
 TEN 2 13 0 .133 2–9–0

NFC Standings

W L T Win % Conf                
 ARI 11 3 0 .785 8–2–0   1 1 « 1 1 « «
 DET 10 4 0 .714 8–2–0 NC   2 « 2 2 «
 DAL 10 4 0 .714 7–4–0 NC 2   « 2 2 «
 NO 6 8 0 .428 5–5–0   2
 SEA 10 4 0 .714 8–2–0 NC 2 2 «   2 «
 GB 10 4 0 .714 7–3–0 NC 2 2 « 2   «
 PHI 9 6 0 .600 5–6–0 NC NC « NC NC   «
 SF 7 8 0 .466 6–5–0 1  
 MIN 6 8 0 .428 5–6–0 2 2
 STL 6 8 0 .428 4–6–0 2 2
 CAR 5 8 1 .392 5–6–0 NC NC
 CHI 5 9 0 .357 4–6–0 NC NC
 NYG 5 9 0 .357 3–7–0 NC NC
 ATL 5 9 0 .357 5–5–0 NC NC
 WAS 4 11 0 .266 2–9–0
 TB 2 12 0 .142 1–9–0